2011 BGN to SVC Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.6581 SVC

YEARLY LOW

5.7570 SVC

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2264 SVC

2011 BGN to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 6.6581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 5.7570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9011 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9787 to the December average rate of 5.8921, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.6581 was up 2.21% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.5139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,290 SVC

2010 Average 29,670 SVC

Yearly Trough Low 28,785 SVC

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,505.37 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.5235

5.8347

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2778, compared to 6.1751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1027 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2778

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.4397 SVC (High: 6.3355 / Low: 5.8959). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1518 SVC (High: 6.4807 / Low: 6.3289).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.4397

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2447 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2447

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 6.4224) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.6381), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7844 (+13.91%).

2011 Avg (May) 6.4224

2010 Avg (May) 5.6381

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.1370	5.7727	5.9787
February	6.1890	6.0126	6.1037
March	6.3679	6.1605	6.2616
April	6.6472	6.3280	6.4661
May	6.6581	6.2725	6.4224
June	6.5543	6.3040	6.4342
July	6.4861	6.2527	6.3874
August	6.4807	6.3289	6.4103
September	6.3906	6.0075	6.1656
October	6.3355	5.8959	6.1357
November	6.1773	5.9081	6.0594
December	6.0434	5.7570	5.8921