YEARLY HIGH
5.1677 SVC
YEARLY LOW
4.8695 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0079 SVC

2019 BGN to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 5.1677. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 4.8695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2983 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1071 to the December average rate of 4.9702, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.1677 was down 7.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.5945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,839 SVC
2018 Average 26,416 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 24,347 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,491.34 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.1253
4.9074
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0527, compared to 4.9632 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0896 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0527
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9632

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.1248 SVC (High: 4.9943 / Low: 4.8695). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0461 SVC (High: 5.0275 / Low: 4.9814).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1248
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0461

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0488 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0488

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5.1071) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.4570), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3499 (-6.41%).

2019 Avg (January) 5.1071
2018 Avg (January) 5.4570

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1677 5.0553 5.1071
February 5.1241 5.0439 5.0782
March 5.1080 5.0064 5.0535
April 5.0599 4.9824 5.0221
May 5.0275 4.9814 5.0053
June 5.0978 4.9851 5.0501
July 5.0703 4.9529 5.0180
August 5.0187 4.9136 4.9744
September 4.9557 4.8824 4.9256
October 4.9943 4.8695 4.9464
November 4.9985 4.9244 4.9443
December 5.0178 4.9196 4.9702