YEARLY HIGH
5.5945 SVC
YEARLY LOW
5.0203 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2849 SVC

2018 BGN to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 5.5945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 5.0203.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5742 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4570 to the December average rate of 5.0892, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.5945 was up 3.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4044, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,973 SVC
2017 Average 25,275 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 25,102 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,871.08 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.5712
5.0370
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4178, compared to 5.1520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2658 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4178
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2196 SVC (High: 5.5612 / Low: 5.3416). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0550 SVC (High: 5.2576 / Low: 5.2026).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2196
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0550

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1986 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1986

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 5.5267) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.7618), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7649 (+16.06%).

2018 Avg (February) 5.5267
2017 Avg (February) 4.7618

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5612 5.3416 5.4570
February 5.5945 5.4559 5.5267
March 5.5676 5.4770 5.5159
April 5.5425 5.4078 5.4904
May 5.3772 5.1703 5.2918
June 5.2822 5.1784 5.2249
July 5.2576 5.2026 5.2305
August 5.2438 5.0763 5.1598
September 5.2630 5.1749 5.2132
October 5.1885 5.0729 5.1376
November 5.1257 5.0203 5.0815
December 5.1277 5.0551 5.0892