YEARLY HIGH
5.1434 SVC
YEARLY LOW
4.6443 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9490 SVC

2016 BGN to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 5.1434. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 4.6443.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4991 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8587 to the December average rate of 4.7137, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.1434 was down 5.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.4411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,717 SVC
2015 Average 24,822 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 23,221 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,495.68 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.1043
4.6782
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9906, compared to 4.9073 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0833 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9906
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9073

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2452 SVC (High: 4.9706 / Low: 4.7254). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0446 SVC (High: 5.0351 / Low: 4.9905).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2452
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0446

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1131 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1131

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 5.0510) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.9861), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0649 (+1.30%).

2016 Avg (May) 5.0510
2015 Avg (May) 4.9861

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8824 4.8203 4.8587
February 5.0544 4.8574 4.9631
March 5.0804 4.8608 4.9760
April 5.1140 5.0194 5.0688
May 5.1434 4.9709 5.0510
June 5.0955 4.9244 5.0260
July 4.9892 4.9156 4.9499
August 5.0621 4.9613 5.0102
September 5.0351 4.9905 5.0114
October 5.0143 4.8649 4.9318
November 4.9706 4.7254 4.8268
December 4.7902 4.6443 4.7137