YEARLY HIGH
0.0126 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.0119 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0121 HNL

2021 CDF to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.0126. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 2, dropping to 0.0119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0007 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0123 to the December average rate of 0.0121, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0126 was down 22.67% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 63 HNL
2020 Average 67 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 60 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.64 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0123
0.0119
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0122, compared to 0.0121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0122
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0005 HNL (High: 0.0126 / Low: 0.0122). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 HNL (High: 0.0121 / Low: 0.0120).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.0123) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0147), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0024 (-16.40%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.0123
2020 Avg (January) 0.0147

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0126 0.0122 0.0123
February 0.0123 0.0121 0.0122
March 0.0123 0.0121 0.0122
April 0.0121 0.0121 0.0121
May 0.0121 0.0120 0.0121
June 0.0122 0.0120 0.0121
July 0.0121 0.0119 0.0120
August 0.0120 0.0119 0.0120
September 0.0122 0.0120 0.0121
October 0.0122 0.0120 0.0121
November 0.0121 0.0120 0.0121
December 0.0122 0.0121 0.0121