2011 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3114 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9510 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1199 KES

2011 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.3114. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.9510.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3604 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9815 to the December average rate of 1.0329, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.3114 was up 26.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.0349, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,557 KES

2010 Average 4,762 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,755 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,801.83 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.2836

0.9540

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0716, compared to 1.1681 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0965 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0716

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1681

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1376 KES (High: 1.2164 / Low: 1.0788). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0288 KES (High: 1.1284 / Low: 1.0996).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1376

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0288

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1125 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1125

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.2561) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.0166), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2395 (+23.55%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.2561

2010 Avg (October) 1.0166

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0085	0.9510	0.9815
February	1.0336	0.9906	1.0088
March	1.0941	1.0371	1.0700
April	1.1236	1.0680	1.0987
May	1.1284	1.0996	1.1105
June	1.1928	1.1222	1.1603
July	1.1873	1.1410	1.1642
August	1.2318	1.1727	1.2072
September	1.2665	1.1697	1.2030
October	1.3114	1.2217	1.2561
November	1.2164	1.0788	1.1454
December	1.1016	0.9866	1.0329