2013 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0871 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9742 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0391 KES

2013 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 1.0871. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 0.9742.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1129 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0473 to the December average rate of 1.0750, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0871 was up 5.18% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.0335, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,435 KES

2012 Average 4,916 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,871 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 564.41 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0834

0.9819

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0201, compared to 1.0581 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0380 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0201

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0581

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.0583 KES (High: 1.0623 / Low: 1.0040). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0136 KES (High: 1.0007 / Low: 0.9871).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0583

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0136

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0515 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0515

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 1.0750) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.0205), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0545 (+5.34%).

2013 Avg (December) 1.0750

2012 Avg (December) 1.0205

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0742	1.0285	1.0473
February	1.0805	1.0309	1.0594
March	1.0299	0.9909	1.0079
April	1.0007	0.9871	0.9936
May	1.0006	0.9742	0.9903
June	1.0360	1.0013	1.0219
July	1.0623	1.0040	1.0303
August	1.0704	1.0496	1.0592
September	1.0810	1.0510	1.0667
October	1.0745	1.0483	1.0597
November	1.0748	1.0460	1.0576
December	1.0871	1.0652	1.0750