2015 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0934 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8780 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9893 KES

2015 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 17, valuing the pair at 1.0934. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 0.8780.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2154 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9660 to the December average rate of 1.0106, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.0934 was down 1.06% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.1051, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,467 KES

2014 Average 5,318 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,390 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,076.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.0910

0.8860

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9501, compared to 1.0285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0783 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9501

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 0.0918 KES (High: 1.0905 / Low: 0.9987). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0228 KES (High: 0.9519 / Low: 0.9290).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0918

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0512 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0512

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 1.0739) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.0423), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0316 (+3.03%).

2015 Avg (September) 1.0739

2014 Avg (September) 1.0423

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9952	0.9347	0.9660
February	0.9519	0.9290	0.9432
March	0.9302	0.8780	0.9030
April	0.9555	0.8986	0.9166
May	0.9967	0.9616	0.9773
June	1.0140	0.9713	0.9946
July	1.0305	0.9946	1.0108
August	1.0905	0.9987	1.0357
September	1.0934	1.0568	1.0739
October	1.0732	1.0061	1.0454
November	1.0194	0.9794	0.9943
December	1.0184	0.9831	1.0106