YEARLY HIGH
1.2363 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.4048 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0970 KES

2020 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 1.2363. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 0.4048.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8316 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0144 to the December average rate of 1.2154, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.2363 was up 16.53% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.0610, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,182 KES
2019 Average 5,162 KES
Yearly Trough Low 2,024 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,157.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.2375
0.9720
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0338, compared to 1.1602 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0338
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1602

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.6532 KES (High: 1.0580 / Low: 0.4048). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0187 KES (High: 1.1662 / Low: 1.1475).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.6532
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0203 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0203

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 1.2154) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.0171), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1983 (+19.50%).

2020 Avg (December) 1.2154
2019 Avg (December) 1.0171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0313 1.0010 1.0144
February 1.0036 0.9848 0.9941
March 1.0580 0.4048 1.0148
April 1.0594 1.0345 1.0452
May 1.0734 1.0326 1.0527
June 1.0921 1.0722 1.0814
July 1.1482 1.0743 1.1084
August 1.1712 1.1423 1.1582
September 1.1688 1.1391 1.1555
October 1.1662 1.1475 1.1547
November 1.1935 1.1452 1.1689
December 1.2363 1.1990 1.2154