2018 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1554 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.0324 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0820 KES

2018 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 1.1554. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 1.0324.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1230 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1331 to the December average rate of 1.0518, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.1554 was up 3.06% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1211, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,777 KES

2017 Average 5,282 KES

Yearly Trough Low 5,162 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 614.99 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1414

1.0414

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1085, compared to 1.0556 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0529 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1085

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0556

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0440 KES (High: 1.1554 / Low: 1.1114). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0117 KES (High: 1.0560 / Low: 1.0443).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0440

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0378 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0378

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.1331) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9983), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1348 (+13.50%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.1331

2017 Avg (January) 0.9983

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1554	1.1114	1.1331
February	1.1477	1.1148	1.1313
March	1.1376	1.1168	1.1273
April	1.1296	1.0951	1.1154
May	1.0948	1.0630	1.0776
June	1.0847	1.0554	1.0662
July	1.0754	1.0572	1.0642
August	1.0649	1.0324	1.0512
September	1.0758	1.0555	1.0636
October	1.0587	1.0397	1.0497
November	1.0640	1.0421	1.0529
December	1.0560	1.0443	1.0518