2012 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0335 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9188 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9833 KES

2012 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1.0335. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 0.9188.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1147 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0064 to the December average rate of 1.0205, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.0335 was down 21.19% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.3114, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,168 KES

2011 Average 5,602 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,594 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 573.65 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.0291

0.9259

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9872, compared to 0.9793 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9872

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9793

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0607 KES (High: 1.0148 / Low: 0.9541). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0192 KES (High: 1.0023 / Low: 0.9831).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0607

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0192

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0274 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0274

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1.0205) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.0329), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0124 (-1.20%).

2012 Avg (December) 1.0205

2011 Avg (December) 1.0329

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0240	0.9961	1.0064
February	1.0057	0.9838	0.9942
March	1.0024	0.9712	0.9915
April	1.0023	0.9831	0.9912
May	0.9980	0.9670	0.9784
June	0.9753	0.9481	0.9618
July	0.9615	0.9188	0.9345
August	0.9552	0.9281	0.9404
September	1.0148	0.9541	0.9870
October	1.0079	0.9875	0.9998
November	1.0088	0.9811	0.9939
December	1.0335	1.0059	1.0205