2016 CVE to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0536 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9595 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0190 KES

2016 CVE to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CVE to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 1.0536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.9595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0942 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0086 to the December average rate of 0.9766, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0536 was down 3.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0934, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,268 KES

2015 Average 4,948 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,797 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 470.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0471

0.9702

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0272, compared to 1.0108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0272

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0493 KES (High: 1.0258 / Low: 0.9765). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0103 KES (High: 1.0353 / Low: 1.0249).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0493

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0198 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.0352) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9773), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0579 (+5.92%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.0352

2015 Avg (May) 0.9773

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0137	0.9977	1.0086
February	1.0440	1.0081	1.0260
March	1.0413	0.9984	1.0228
April	1.0486	1.0310	1.0407
May	1.0536	1.0186	1.0352
June	1.0456	1.0115	1.0302
July	1.0244	1.0095	1.0174
August	1.0418	1.0198	1.0308
September	1.0353	1.0249	1.0293
October	1.0322	0.9998	1.0143
November	1.0258	0.9765	0.9964
December	0.9961	0.9595	0.9766