2011 FKP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4623.7029 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3578.1052 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4046.4495 UGX

2011 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 4623.7029. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 3578.1052.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1045.5977 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3673.3370 to the December average rate of 3825.1501, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4623.7029 was up 24.24% compared to the 2010 peak of 3721.6618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,118,515 UGX

2010 Average 16,842,426 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 17,890,526 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,227,988.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4591.3984

3589.8769

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3850.0046, compared to 4242.8943 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 392.8896 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3850.0046

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4242.8943

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 393.3508 UGX (High: 4540.1380 / Low: 4146.7872). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 101.6397 UGX (High: 3944.4055 / Low: 3842.7658).

October Spread (Volatile) ±393.3508

March Spread (Stable) ±101.6397

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 339.0030 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -339.0030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 4507.9382) against the same month in 2010 (average: 3489.7544), the exchange rate shifted by +1018.1838 (+29.18%).

2011 Avg (August) 4507.9382

2010 Avg (August) 3489.7544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3823.5137	3578.1052	3673.3370
February	3865.6370	3718.2954	3785.8045
March	3944.4055	3842.7658	3873.1128
April	3972.5749	3791.6021	3884.6800
May	3972.5749	3844.8220	3907.5875
June	4294.8238	3909.6237	3975.5062
July	4275.5533	4084.5457	4181.1042
August	4623.7029	4272.1305	4507.9382
September	4577.6777	4349.2725	4448.9879
October	4540.1380	4146.7872	4416.5941
November	4219.2052	3917.3217	4077.5911
December	4002.3751	3663.9709	3825.1501