YEARLY HIGH
4837.2307 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4133.3353 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4557.0979 UGX

2022 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 4837.2307. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 4133.3353.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 703.8954 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4783.5523 to the December average rate of 4488.7941, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 4837.2307 was down 6.76% compared to the 2021 peak of 5187.9164, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,186,154 UGX
2021 Average 24,670,457 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,666,677 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,519,477.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

4830.2163
4270.2479
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4665.5753, compared to 4448.6205 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 216.9548 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4665.5753
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4448.6205

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 374.1965 UGX (High: 4762.9800 / Low: 4388.7835). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 89.9426 UGX (High: 4798.0630 / Low: 4708.1204).

May Spread (Volatile) ±374.1965
February Spread (Stable) ±89.9426

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 260.5635 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -260.5635

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 4783.5523) against the same month in 2021 (average: 5035.7187), the exchange rate shifted by -252.1664 (-5.01%).

2022 Avg (January) 4783.5523
2021 Avg (January) 5035.7187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4837.2307 4697.5591 4783.5523
February 4798.0630 4708.1204 4757.8094
March 4777.3152 4683.2479 4729.0267
April 4697.0150 4422.7162 4588.9867
May 4762.9800 4388.7835 4517.4009
June 4743.0965 4509.2866 4616.6757
July 4721.2640 4439.3958 4554.2783
August 4739.1207 4402.6449 4588.3384
September 4458.1026 4133.3353 4327.7749
October 4421.9629 4203.0270 4316.9119
November 4529.0882 4230.4626 4415.6252
December 4590.8760 4381.8791 4488.7941