2014 FKP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4564.9505 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4022.4591 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4276.2064 UGX

2014 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 4564.9505. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 4022.4591.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 542.4914 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4117.7680 to the December average rate of 4323.3067, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4564.9505 was up 3.80% compared to the 2013 peak of 4397.7288, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,824,753 UGX

2013 Average 20,230,030 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 20,112,295 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,712,457.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4531.5648

4048.6414

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4211.0822, compared to 4341.3305 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 130.2483 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4211.0822

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4341.3305

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 209.5909 UGX (High: 4232.0500 / Low: 4022.4591). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 40.1218 UGX (High: 4279.0339 / Low: 4238.9121).

February Spread (Volatile) ±209.5909

May Spread (Stable) ±40.1218

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 133.6370 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -133.6370

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 4491.3212) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3927.8808), the exchange rate shifted by +563.4403 (+14.34%).

2014 Avg (July) 4491.3212

2013 Avg (July) 3927.8808

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4180.5516	4069.4296	4117.7680
February	4232.0500	4022.4591	4088.8850
March	4248.1217	4179.6356	4210.9803
April	4273.5366	4207.1885	4229.9117
May	4279.0339	4238.9121	4260.0271
June	4446.6113	4263.5513	4358.9213
July	4564.9505	4398.1525	4491.3212
August	4418.5854	4289.6165	4357.6841
September	4340.8292	4189.9846	4267.1896
October	4366.7528	4225.3552	4299.4993
November	4367.4161	4264.0664	4308.9823
December	4380.3340	4282.5493	4323.3067