YEARLY HIGH
4950.3521 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4484.8292 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4747.3228 UGX

2025 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 26, valuing the pair at 4950.3521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 4484.8292.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 465.5228 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4554.0579 to the December average rate of 4787.0495, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 4950.3521 was down 1.44% compared to the 2024 peak of 5022.7118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,751,760 UGX
2024 Average 24,000,658 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 22,424,146 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,327,614.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

4927.9744
4520.0655
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4749.2710, compared to 4745.3746 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.8964 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4749.2710
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4745.3746

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 273.3688 UGX (High: 4811.4670 / Low: 4538.0982). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 110.2586 UGX (High: 4936.4241 / Low: 4826.1655).

November Spread (Volatile) ±273.3688
June Spread (Stable) ±110.2586

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 103.9975 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -103.9975

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2025: 4885.9237) against the same month in 2024 (average: 4785.8854), the exchange rate shifted by +100.0383 (+2.09%).

2025 Avg (May) 4885.9237
2024 Avg (May) 4785.8854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4622.2763 4484.8292 4554.0579
February 4666.8856 4546.2592 4611.4654
March 4767.9724 4619.7611 4728.9977
April 4928.7866 4692.7140 4821.1990
May 4950.3521 4812.9207 4885.9237
June 4936.4241 4826.1655 4893.9820
July 4942.0838 4732.8322 4839.1106
August 4836.2920 4691.2901 4791.7428
September 4801.4819 4668.2978 4734.9032
October 4704.7036 4556.7245 4630.9056
November 4811.4670 4538.0982 4688.5359
December 4888.8621 4713.2868 4787.0495