2018 FKP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5294.2433 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4648.3376 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4974.3749 UGX

2018 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 5294.2433. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 4648.3376.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 645.9057 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5029.8534 to the December average rate of 4705.2570, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5294.2433 was up 7.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 4912.9063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,471,217 UGX

2017 Average 23,305,785 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 23,241,688 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,229,528.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5246.6337

4656.0410

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5089.7957, compared to 4858.9540 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 230.8417 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5089.7957

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4858.9540

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 304.0333 UGX (High: 5151.9348 / Low: 4847.9015). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 101.7284 UGX (High: 5074.8815 / Low: 4973.1532).

July Spread (Volatile) ±304.0333

May Spread (Stable) ±101.7284

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 178.9600 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -178.9600

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 5197.4176) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4589.6662), the exchange rate shifted by +607.7514 (+13.24%).

2018 Avg (April) 5197.4176

2017 Avg (April) 4589.6662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5172.1711	4909.0340	5029.8534
February	5177.5046	5013.4150	5084.1628
March	5216.6138	5019.2482	5106.8161
April	5294.2433	5110.9529	5197.4176
May	5074.8815	4973.1532	5018.4576
June	5177.8426	5037.2377	5102.0667
July	5151.9348	4847.9015	4949.3462
August	4914.6549	4727.5977	4800.4429
September	5075.7179	4845.9357	4958.6690
October	5022.1747	4775.3940	4918.8610
November	4933.1161	4749.3308	4821.1479
December	4772.2985	4648.3376	4705.2570