2019 FKP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4965.8884 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4442.9976 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4731.8688 UGX

2019 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 4965.8884. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 4442.9976.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 522.8908 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4779.8394 to the December average rate of 4818.0256, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4965.8884 was down 6.20% compared to the 2018 peak of 5294.2433, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,829,442 UGX

2018 Average 24,864,872 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 22,214,988 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,614,453.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4919.1349

4446.1966

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4813.6586, compared to 4650.0791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 163.5795 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4813.6586

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4650.0791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 294.4372 UGX (High: 4806.0434 / Low: 4511.6062). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 80.4191 UGX (High: 4801.4553 / Low: 4721.0363).

October Spread (Volatile) ±294.4372

November Spread (Stable) ±80.4191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 125.0467 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -125.0467

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 4842.9727) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5018.4576), the exchange rate shifted by -175.4849 (-3.50%).

2019 Avg (May) 4842.9727

2018 Avg (May) 5018.4576

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4886.8745	4651.7582	4779.8394
February	4912.6644	4698.0747	4778.2534
March	4933.1802	4800.5610	4879.7234
April	4922.3877	4825.3926	4868.4673
May	4965.8884	4739.0526	4842.9727
June	4794.1228	4684.4079	4732.6952
July	4709.1536	4496.7794	4610.6548
August	4525.3573	4442.9976	4485.6081
September	4603.1691	4443.8239	4541.7313
October	4806.0434	4511.6062	4682.9574
November	4801.4553	4721.0363	4761.4973
December	4951.1920	4740.1414	4818.0256