2016 FKP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5056.6442 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4171.0668 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4628.3123 UGX

2016 FKP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the FKP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 5056.6442. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 4171.0668.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 885.5774 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4962.3536 to the December average rate of 4492.8054, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5056.6442 was down 11.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 5717.1205, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,283,221 UGX

2015 Average 24,761,150 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 20,855,334 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,427,887.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5034.9779

4163.4860

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4845.7281, compared to 4410.8966 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 434.8315 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4845.7281

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4410.8966

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 536.5256 UGX (High: 5029.6721 / Low: 4493.1465). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 87.7443 UGX (High: 5006.5065 / Low: 4918.7622).

June Spread (Volatile) ±536.5256

January Spread (Stable) ±87.7443

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 334.6830 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -334.6830

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 4906.0060) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4401.6125), the exchange rate shifted by +504.3934 (+11.46%).

2016 Avg (February) 4906.0060

2015 Avg (February) 4401.6125

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5006.5065	4918.7622	4962.3536
February	5056.6442	4653.9520	4906.0060
March	4877.4853	4673.1954	4794.7359
April	4879.4600	4720.8457	4780.0286
May	4974.1971	4770.5885	4851.8391
June	5029.6721	4493.1465	4779.4054
July	4513.8787	4376.9650	4444.7224
August	4508.3636	4338.2140	4414.1023
September	4535.9602	4383.0674	4444.9440
October	4396.6488	4171.0668	4236.1103
November	4536.6203	4240.0255	4432.6951
December	4623.1083	4388.7356	4492.8054