2011 GEL to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.6565 RUB

YEARLY LOW

16.1945 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.4547 RUB

2011 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 19.6565. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 16.1945.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4620 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.8077 to the December average rate of 18.9841, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 19.6565 was up 9.55% compared to the 2010 peak of 17.9422, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 98,282 RUB

2010 Average 84,970 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 80,973 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,309.84 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

19.2337

16.2385

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7230, compared to 18.1864 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4634 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7230

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.1864

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 2.0212 RUB (High: 19.4969 / Low: 17.4757). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2621 RUB (High: 16.8946 / Low: 16.6325).

September Spread (Volatile) ±2.0212

July Spread (Stable) ±0.2621

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3195 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 18.8481) against the same month in 2010 (average: 16.8998), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9483 (+11.53%).

2011 Avg (October) 18.8481

2010 Avg (October) 16.8998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.3462	16.4174	16.8077
February	16.7787	16.2417	16.4881
March	16.9164	16.2896	16.6109
April	17.1607	16.6304	16.8647
May	17.0519	16.1945	16.6620
June	17.1744	16.6832	16.9048
July	16.8946	16.6325	16.7457
August	18.0274	16.7470	17.4785
September	19.4969	17.4757	18.4605
October	19.6565	17.9727	18.8481
November	19.0410	18.2907	18.6016
December	19.3656	18.5086	18.9841