YEARLY HIGH
20.7633 RUB
YEARLY LOW
17.5544 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
18.6077 RUB

2012 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 20.7633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 28, dropping to 17.5544.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2089 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.7851 to the December average rate of 18.5119, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 20.7633 was up 5.63% compared to the 2011 peak of 19.6565, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 103,817 RUB
2011 Average 87,299 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 87,772 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,044.46 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

20.3741
17.5451
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.6185, compared to 18.5968 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0217 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.6185
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.5968

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 2.4459 RUB (High: 20.4810 / Low: 18.0351). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3075 RUB (High: 18.6492 / Low: 18.3417).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.4459
December Spread (Stable) ±0.3075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.2099 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2099

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 20.1383) against the same month in 2011 (average: 16.9048), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2335 (+19.13%).

2012 Avg (June) 20.1383
2011 Avg (June) 16.9048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.2865 18.0658 18.7851
February 18.3093 17.5544 17.9918
March 17.9548 17.5791 17.7808
April 18.1393 17.6665 18.0250
May 20.4810 18.0351 18.9900
June 20.7633 19.7776 20.1383
July 19.5981 18.4715 18.9285
August 18.7795 18.2942 18.5106
September 18.7288 17.6758 18.1666
October 18.9675 17.8923 18.5722
November 19.0798 18.6166 18.8912
December 18.6492 18.3417 18.5119