YEARLY HIGH
38.3821 RUB
YEARLY LOW
24.8130 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.5550 RUB

2023 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 38.3821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 24.8130.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.5691 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 26.2493 to the December average rate of 33.9069, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 38.3821 was down 8.80% compared to the 2022 peak of 42.0846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 191,911 RUB
2022 Average 119,198 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 124,065 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 67,845.46 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

37.6716
25.2109
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.8141, compared to 35.2960 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.4819 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.8141
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.2960

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was October, with a trading range of 3.3947 RUB (High: 37.7570 / Low: 34.3623). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6894 RUB (High: 34.5797 / Low: 32.8903).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.3947
December Spread (Stable) ±1.6894

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.5886 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5886

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 36.6332) against the same month in 2022 (average: 21.9501), the exchange rate shifted by +14.6831 (+66.89%).

2023 Avg (August) 36.6332
2022 Avg (August) 21.9501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 27.2963 24.8130 26.2493
February 28.8489 26.5894 27.8229
March 30.4322 28.6179 29.6019
April 32.6872 30.4322 32.1300
May 32.3985 29.8960 31.1408
June 34.0330 30.9534 31.9396
July 35.7018 33.6973 35.0365
August 38.3821 35.5423 36.6332
September 37.7480 35.7217 36.5554
October 37.7570 34.3623 36.1164
November 34.3561 32.6289 33.5278
December 34.5797 32.8903 33.9069