2016 GEL to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.6152 RUB

YEARLY LOW

21.8542 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.4124 RUB

2016 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 33.6152. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 21.8542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.7610 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.4201 to the December average rate of 23.4099, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 33.6152 was down 15.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 39.5777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 168,076 RUB

2015 Average 140,736 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 109,271 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 58,805.09 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

32.2211

22.6089

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.2324, compared to 26.5923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.2324

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.5923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.1968 RUB (High: 31.3110 / Low: 27.1142). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7716 RUB (High: 26.9384 / Low: 26.1667).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.1968

October Spread (Stable) ±0.7716

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.7171 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7171

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 31.4201) against the same month in 2015 (average: 36.3006), the exchange rate shifted by -4.8805 (-13.44%).

2016 Avg (January) 31.4201

2015 Avg (January) 36.3006

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.6152	30.3436	31.4201
February	32.1749	30.3115	31.0980
March	30.2562	28.8913	29.4274
April	29.9955	29.1229	29.5114
May	31.2005	29.1746	30.2309
June	31.3110	27.1142	29.7065
July	28.3520	26.8432	27.4955
August	28.4626	27.4707	27.9966
September	28.6730	26.9573	27.9276
October	26.9384	26.1667	26.5972
November	26.6154	25.2548	26.1270
December	25.0801	21.8542	23.4099