YEARLY HIGH
28.5704 RUB
YEARLY LOW
21.9529 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.2729 RUB

2018 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 28.5704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 21.9529.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6176 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.1547 to the December average rate of 25.3907, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 28.5704 was up 12.46% compared to the 2017 peak of 25.4056, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 142,852 RUB
2017 Average 116,836 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 109,764 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,087.98 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

28.0559
21.6182
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.0878, compared to 26.4580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.3702 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.0878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.4580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 3.0260 RUB (High: 27.7670 / Low: 24.7410). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7381 RUB (High: 26.0070 / Low: 25.2689).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.0260
July Spread (Stable) ±0.7381

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.9451 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9451

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 27.5195) against the same month in 2017 (average: 23.3761), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1434 (+17.72%).

2018 Avg (September) 27.5195
2017 Avg (September) 23.3761

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 22.8131 21.9529 22.1547
February 23.9050 22.5284 23.1229
March 23.6859 22.9402 23.3504
April 25.9458 23.5130 24.9239
May 25.9782 24.9226 25.4004
June 26.0028 25.2081 25.5745
July 26.0070 25.2689 25.6784
August 27.6366 25.7291 26.9148
September 28.5704 26.7966 27.5195
October 27.3544 26.5516 26.9084
November 27.7670 24.7410 26.3359
December 26.0196 24.8814 25.3907