YEARLY HIGH
25.8666 RUB
YEARLY LOW
21.3060 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
23.0287 RUB

2019 GEL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 25.8666. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 21.3060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5606 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.0537 to the December average rate of 21.7374, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 25.8666 was down 9.46% compared to the 2018 peak of 28.5704, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 129,333 RUB
2018 Average 126,408 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 106,530 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,803.11 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

25.4074
21.1633
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.1481, compared to 21.9093 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.1481
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.9093

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 1.7969 RUB (High: 23.8349 / Low: 22.0380). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4592 RUB (High: 21.7652 / Low: 21.3060).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.7969
November Spread (Stable) ±0.4592

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0747 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0747

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 25.0537) against the same month in 2018 (average: 22.1547), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8990 (+13.09%).

2019 Avg (January) 25.0537
2018 Avg (January) 22.1547

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 25.8666 24.6514 25.0537
February 25.2731 24.4464 24.8003
March 24.7850 23.7679 24.3278
April 24.3569 23.6368 23.9600
May 24.1780 23.1152 23.5965
June 23.8349 22.0380 23.1506
July 22.8215 21.4141 22.0759
August 22.9079 21.8073 22.4948
September 22.7154 21.4804 21.9317
October 22.0610 21.4789 21.6990
November 21.7652 21.3060 21.5170
December 22.0238 21.5352 21.7374