2011 GHS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1855.3558 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1442.0875 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1634.0300 UGX

2011 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 1855.3558. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1442.0875.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 413.2683 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1549.8707 to the December average rate of 1494.4952, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1855.3558 was up 15.49% compared to the 2010 peak of 1606.4616, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,276,779 UGX

2010 Average 7,603,241 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,210,437 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,066,341.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1839.8734

1463.0972

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1576.3327, compared to 1691.7274 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 115.3947 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1576.3327

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1691.7274

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was February, with a trading range of 265.3764 UGX (High: 1731.8133 / Low: 1466.4370). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 19.4751 UGX (High: 1592.4935 / Low: 1573.0183).

February Spread (Volatile) ±265.3764

May Spread (Stable) ±19.4751

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 144.7046 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -144.7046

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 1806.8689) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1552.9352), the exchange rate shifted by +253.9336 (+16.35%).

2011 Avg (August) 1806.8689

2010 Avg (August) 1552.9352

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1605.9229	1466.3595	1549.8707
February	1731.8133	1466.4370	1560.4688
March	1590.3711	1562.4002	1573.2222
April	1588.1418	1540.5757	1573.0081
May	1592.4935	1573.0183	1583.3855
June	1763.1254	1575.5861	1618.0410
July	1735.9068	1673.4939	1709.9757
August	1855.3558	1729.3668	1806.8689
September	1847.2228	1769.7563	1808.4754
October	1785.9740	1617.2385	1737.6268
November	1643.1480	1534.0425	1592.9222
December	1548.6927	1442.0875	1494.4952