2012 GHS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1513.9256 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1262.1501 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1355.4522 UGX

2012 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1513.9256. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 1262.1501.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 251.7756 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1427.4391 to the December average rate of 1409.6505, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1513.9256 was down 18.40% compared to the 2011 peak of 1855.3558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,569,628 UGX

2011 Average 8,172,402 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,310,750 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,258,877.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1443.3825

1252.0615

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1372.0271, compared to 1338.8773 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 33.1498 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1372.0271

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1338.8773

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 143.2800 UGX (High: 1513.9256 / Low: 1370.6456). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 17.2279 UGX (High: 1279.3780 / Low: 1262.1501).

January Spread (Volatile) ±143.2800

July Spread (Stable) ±17.2279

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 68.8084 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -68.8084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1427.4391) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1549.8707), the exchange rate shifted by -122.4316 (-7.90%).

2012 Avg (January) 1427.4391

2011 Avg (January) 1549.8707

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1513.9256	1370.6456	1427.4391
February	1415.0673	1355.3641	1379.5113
March	1511.5856	1400.1663	1427.2801
April	1408.2732	1349.6013	1385.0247
May	1353.3725	1304.4397	1316.2163
June	1332.7515	1273.6773	1296.6908
July	1279.3780	1262.1501	1268.0049
August	1304.0698	1267.3145	1281.3806
September	1345.6095	1298.0219	1318.8586
October	1380.7526	1341.5056	1367.7435
November	1414.4111	1365.4504	1387.6257
December	1425.2720	1395.8220	1409.6505