2014 GHS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1081.8641 UGX

YEARLY LOW

673.4956 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

866.9536 UGX

2014 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1081.8641. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 19, dropping to 673.4956.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 408.3685 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1049.2436 to the December average rate of 863.2669, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1081.8641 was down 24.69% compared to the 2013 peak of 1436.5716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,409,320 UGX

2013 Average 6,292,936 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,367,478 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,041,842.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1082.3373

685.2138

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 937.8709, compared to 796.0363 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 141.8346 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 937.8709

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 796.0363

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 125.8119 UGX (High: 811.5747 / Low: 685.7628). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.7523 UGX (High: 867.8887 / Low: 858.1364).

September Spread (Volatile) ±125.8119

December Spread (Stable) ±9.7523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 62.8885 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -62.8885

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1049.2436) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1410.5856), the exchange rate shifted by -361.3420 (-25.62%).

2014 Avg (January) 1049.2436

2013 Avg (January) 1410.5856

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1081.8641	1013.9194	1049.2436
February	1034.7916	969.8192	990.7911
March	989.4675	946.7572	976.8631
April	949.8710	890.8769	913.9746
May	893.2447	844.0731	868.7367
June	856.9513	794.0858	827.6160
July	803.9438	743.7759	779.5242
August	775.4511	673.4956	718.3074
September	811.5747	685.7628	736.0739
October	839.0400	809.6958	827.9356
November	869.0817	831.0885	851.1097
December	867.8887	858.1364	863.2669