YEARLY HIGH
690.7345 UGX
YEARLY LOW
616.4122 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
648.6300 UGX

2020 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 690.7345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 616.4122.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.3223 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 650.8610 to the December average rate of 624.5883, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 690.7345 was down 10.54% compared to the 2019 peak of 772.0853, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,453,673 UGX
2019 Average 3,453,604 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 3,082,061 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 371,611.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

689.5212
618.6853
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 661.0435, compared to 636.2164 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 24.8270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 661.0435
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 636.2164

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 31.6476 UGX (High: 688.7752 / Low: 657.1276). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.4232 UGX (High: 640.0062 / Low: 633.5830).

March Spread (Volatile) ±31.6476
August Spread (Stable) ±6.4232

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 20.1270 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -20.1270

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 683.6182) against the same month in 2019 (average: 698.6183), the exchange rate shifted by -15.0001 (-2.15%).

2020 Avg (February) 683.6182
2019 Avg (February) 698.6183

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 668.4716 642.7406 650.8610
February 690.7345 668.4716 683.6182
March 688.7752 657.1276 674.8995
April 661.3334 644.7972 654.7724
May 660.9570 653.2602 656.2548
June 657.9276 641.6670 645.8549
July 644.8288 637.8563 641.1456
August 640.0062 633.5830 637.0417
September 642.3431 635.7741 638.8736
October 643.4067 635.6894 639.6614
November 641.8029 631.9196 635.9880
December 632.6035 616.4122 624.5883