2018 GHS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

836.5006 UGX

YEARLY LOW

742.0764 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

796.5808 UGX

2018 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 2, valuing the pair at 836.5006. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 742.0764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 94.4242 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 801.5569 to the December average rate of 755.2309, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 836.5006 was down 4.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 874.1125, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,182,503 UGX

2017 Average 4,112,647 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,710,382 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 472,120.83 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

839.8150

747.5414

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 816.7373, compared to 776.4243 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 40.3131 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 816.7373

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 776.4243

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 48.6575 UGX (High: 815.5905 / Low: 766.9330). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.4744 UGX (High: 836.5006 / Low: 828.0261).

July Spread (Volatile) ±48.6575

April Spread (Stable) ±8.4744

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 28.7212 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -28.7212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 832.1256) against the same month in 2017 (average: 860.8577), the exchange rate shifted by -28.7321 (-3.34%).

2018 Avg (April) 832.1256

2017 Avg (April) 860.8577

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	807.0452	797.6831	801.5569
February	820.1647	804.0328	813.9523
March	835.5178	817.3541	824.9455
April	836.5006	828.0261	832.1256
May	828.6936	802.1315	815.4744
June	824.7549	802.3363	812.3694
July	815.5905	766.9330	783.6482
August	795.0219	766.9521	777.5307
September	805.3954	764.0317	794.1162
October	792.7441	763.9323	779.2998
November	782.0050	749.5117	768.7197
December	775.7797	742.0764	755.2309