YEARLY HIGH
445.6822 UGX
YEARLY LOW
287.8399 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
319.1832 UGX

2023 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 445.6822. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 287.8399.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 157.8422 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 325.7392 to the December average rate of 314.5767, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 445.6822 was down 22.70% compared to the 2022 peak of 576.5402, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,228,411 UGX
2022 Average 2,170,464 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,439,200 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 789,211.22 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

331.6343
292.1041
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 317.9065, compared to 320.4599 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.5534 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 317.9065
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 320.4599

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 150.8055 UGX (High: 445.6822 / Low: 294.8767). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9839 UGX (High: 327.2072 / Low: 324.2233).

January Spread (Volatile) ±150.8055
September Spread (Stable) ±2.9839

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 30.3410 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -30.3410

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 325.7392) against the same month in 2022 (average: 567.7551), the exchange rate shifted by -242.0159 (-42.63%).

2023 Avg (January) 325.7392
2022 Avg (January) 567.7551

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 445.6822 294.8767 325.7392
February 301.5662 287.8399 295.3982
March 322.9344 290.8457 303.1958
April 350.7821 310.9324 327.6067
May 350.3303 314.2693 328.3402
June 335.8565 319.3905 327.1588
July 325.5004 313.8837 320.9368
August 333.8241 319.2564 326.3789
September 327.2072 324.2233 325.4455
October 324.5005 316.8547 319.0954
November 318.0505 314.9129 316.3259
December 316.9946 312.7487 314.5767