YEARLY HIGH
900.5268 UGX
YEARLY LOW
831.8319 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
865.8243 UGX

2016 GHS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GHS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 19, valuing the pair at 900.5268. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 831.8319.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 68.6948 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 885.2732 to the December average rate of 849.8306, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 900.5268 was down 11.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 1014.4706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,502,634 UGX
2015 Average 4,294,741 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,159,160 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 343,474.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

888.8174
846.2864
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 871.5579, compared to 860.0908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 11.4671 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 871.5579
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 860.0908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 61.5421 UGX (High: 900.5268 / Low: 838.9847). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.7876 UGX (High: 858.8417 / Low: 848.0541).

November Spread (Volatile) ±61.5421
September Spread (Stable) ±10.7876

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 32.1031 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -32.1031

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 881.9338) against the same month in 2015 (average: 897.0911), the exchange rate shifted by -15.1573 (-1.69%).

2016 Avg (November) 881.9338
2015 Avg (November) 897.0911

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 899.3874 871.6540 885.2732
February 875.9289 855.9597 864.1505
March 879.6557 854.2716 871.5248
April 880.3343 864.4814 872.5280
May 881.7697 862.5399 872.2140
June 876.4650 849.0980 863.6568
July 863.5247 850.2708 855.9806
August 862.7660 849.0356 855.3072
September 858.8417 848.0541 853.8566
October 873.2338 849.5348 863.6358
November 900.5268 838.9847 881.9338
December 872.8715 831.8319 849.8306