2011 GMD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7294 DJF

YEARLY LOW

5.8976 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.3131 DJF

2011 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 6.7294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 5.8976.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8318 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4113 to the December average rate of 6.1533, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.7294 was down 1.60% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.8385, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,647 DJF

2010 Average 32,230 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 29,488 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,159.16 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.4883

6.0512

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4139, compared to 6.2124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4139

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.5151 DJF (High: 6.4126 / Low: 5.8976). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2042 DJF (High: 6.4891 / Low: 6.2850).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.5151

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2817 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2817

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 6.4163) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.1501), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2662 (+4.33%).

2011 Avg (July) 6.4163

2010 Avg (July) 6.1501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5487	6.2857	6.4113
February	6.4891	6.2850	6.3335
March	6.6455	6.2886	6.4296
April	6.6458	6.3260	6.4519
May	6.5750	6.2850	6.4134
June	6.7188	6.2040	6.4434
July	6.7294	6.2144	6.4163
August	6.5382	6.1605	6.3886
September	6.4126	5.8976	6.1070
October	6.3017	5.8996	6.1218
November	6.1817	5.9597	6.0877
December	6.2494	6.0134	6.1533