YEARLY HIGH
6.2385 DJF
YEARLY LOW
5.2065 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7430 DJF

2012 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.2385. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 5.2065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0320 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0160 to the December average rate of 5.7327, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.2385 was down 7.29% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.7294, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,192 DJF
2011 Average 31,567 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 26,032 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,159.98 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.1185
5.2385
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9128, compared to 5.5731 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3397 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9128
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5731

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.7505 DJF (High: 5.9665 / Low: 5.2161). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1100 DJF (High: 5.4287 / Low: 5.3187).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7505
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2040 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 6.0160) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.4113), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3953 (-6.17%).

2012 Avg (January) 6.0160
2011 Avg (January) 6.4113

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.2385 5.8816 6.0160
February 6.1047 5.7455 5.8784
March 6.0907 5.7830 5.8568
April 6.1861 5.9393 6.0451
May 5.9778 5.7867 5.8919
June 5.9553 5.6885 5.7886
July 5.7647 5.5780 5.6584
August 5.6541 5.3205 5.5912
September 5.4287 5.3187 5.3872
October 5.4273 5.2065 5.3118
November 5.9665 5.2161 5.7570
December 5.9781 5.4523 5.7327