YEARLY HIGH
3.7785 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.5707 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6993 DJF

2018 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 3.7785. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 28, dropping to 3.5707.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2078 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7234 to the December average rate of 3.5989, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7785 was down 9.23% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.1627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,892 DJF
2017 Average 19,524 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 17,854 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,038.86 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.7900
3.5748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7502, compared to 3.6484 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7502
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6484

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0965 DJF (High: 3.7085 / Low: 3.6119). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0111 DJF (High: 3.7771 / Low: 3.7660).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0965
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0713 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0713

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 3.7664) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8798), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1133 (-2.92%).

2018 Avg (May) 3.7664
2017 Avg (May) 3.8798

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7599 3.6656 3.7234
February 3.7667 3.7220 3.7511
March 3.7521 3.7128 3.7425
April 3.7555 3.7299 3.7457
May 3.7785 3.7497 3.7664
June 3.7771 3.7660 3.7721
July 3.7738 3.6977 3.7308
August 3.7094 3.6944 3.7011
September 3.7085 3.6119 3.6692
October 3.6165 3.5865 3.5979
November 3.6001 3.5707 3.5928
December 3.6114 3.5897 3.5989