YEARLY HIGH
3.6165 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.9951 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5529 DJF

2019 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 10, valuing the pair at 3.6165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 2.9951.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6214 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5767 to the December average rate of 3.4679, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.6165 was down 4.29% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.7785, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,083 DJF
2018 Average 18,495 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 14,976 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,106.84 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.6057
3.4553
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5876, compared to 3.5181 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0695 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5876
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5181

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.6133 DJF (High: 3.6085 / Low: 2.9951). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 DJF (High: 3.5972 / Low: 3.5896).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6133
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0311 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0311

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 3.5908) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.7721), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1812 (-4.80%).

2019 Avg (June) 3.5908
2018 Avg (June) 3.7721

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6085 2.9951 3.5767
February 3.5972 3.5896 3.5932
March 3.5972 3.5802 3.5877
April 3.5970 3.5793 3.5905
May 3.5970 3.5757 3.5870
June 3.6165 3.5753 3.5908
July 3.5827 3.5598 3.5706
August 3.5646 3.5245 3.5499
September 3.5539 3.5261 3.5340
October 3.5287 3.4674 3.5088
November 3.5014 3.4684 3.4777
December 3.4779 3.4597 3.4679