2014 GMD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.7104 DJF

YEARLY LOW

4.1028 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.4803 DJF

2014 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 26, valuing the pair at 4.7104. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 4.1028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6076 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6741 to the December average rate of 4.1367, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.7104 was down 14.17% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.4883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,552 DJF

2013 Average 26,278 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 20,514 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,038.22 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.7279

4.0829

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6023, compared to 4.3584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2439 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6023

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.3872 DJF (High: 4.5134 / Low: 4.1262). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0427 DJF (High: 4.5264 / Low: 4.4836).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3872

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0427

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2200 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 4.5940) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.3524), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7584 (-14.17%).

2014 Avg (April) 4.5940

2013 Avg (April) 5.3524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.7044	4.6554	4.6741
February	4.6927	4.6380	4.6674
March	4.6947	4.6367	4.6686
April	4.7104	4.4838	4.5940
May	4.5264	4.4836	4.5072
June	4.5296	4.4744	4.5024
July	4.5342	4.4861	4.5103
August	4.5274	4.4825	4.5005
September	4.5283	4.4793	4.5025
October	4.5134	4.1262	4.3602
November	4.1623	4.1028	4.1402
December	4.1637	4.1069	4.1367