2016 GMD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.5358 DJF

YEARLY LOW

4.1207 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.2366 DJF

2016 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 4.5358. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 4.1207.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4151 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4979 to the December average rate of 4.1687, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.5358 was down 1.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.5922, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,679 DJF

2015 Average 21,599 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 20,603 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,075.58 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.5360

4.1194

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3104, compared to 4.1628 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1475 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3104

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1628

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.3954 DJF (High: 4.5343 / Low: 4.1389). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0312 DJF (High: 4.1736 / Low: 4.1424).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3954

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0312

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2146 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2146

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 4.5013) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.1305), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3708 (+8.98%).

2016 Avg (February) 4.5013

2015 Avg (February) 4.1305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.5286	4.4795	4.4979
February	4.5358	4.4836	4.5013
March	4.5343	4.1389	4.3796
April	4.1887	4.1496	4.1650
May	4.1736	4.1424	4.1541
June	4.1992	4.1406	4.1644
July	4.1737	4.1343	4.1541
August	4.1780	4.1283	4.1581
September	4.1798	4.1457	4.1640
October	4.1863	4.1445	4.1637
November	4.2001	4.1474	4.1684
December	4.1983	4.1207	4.1687