YEARLY HIGH
4.5922 DJF
YEARLY LOW
4.0728 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3184 DJF

2015 GMD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GMD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 24, valuing the pair at 4.5922. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 4.0728.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5194 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1420 to the December average rate of 4.4941, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.5922 was down 2.51% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.7104, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,961 DJF
2014 Average 22,397 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 20,364 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,597.10 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.5760
4.0805
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1360, compared to 4.5008 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1360
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5008

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.3724 DJF (High: 4.4831 / Low: 4.1107). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0231 DJF (High: 4.1376 / Low: 4.1144).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3724
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0231

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0270 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0270

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 4.5347) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.3602), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1745 (+4.00%).

2015 Avg (October) 4.5347
2014 Avg (October) 4.3602

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1821 4.0933 4.1420
February 4.1598 4.0728 4.1305
March 4.1543 4.1072 4.1316
April 4.1376 4.1144 4.1246
May 4.1371 4.1111 4.1218
June 4.4831 4.1107 4.1655
July 4.5076 4.4293 4.4769
August 4.5191 4.4406 4.4713
September 4.5532 4.3574 4.5070
October 4.5922 4.4804 4.5347
November 4.5611 4.4719 4.5211
December 4.5130 4.4663 4.4941