YEARLY HIGH
1.5898 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.8436 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9621 RUB

2014 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.5898. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 0.8436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7461 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8850 to the December average rate of 1.3053, the exchange rate registered a net change of 47.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.5898 was up 55.05% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.0253, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,949 RUB
2013 Average 4,715 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 4,218 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,730.71 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.3492
0.8221
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9034, compared to 1.0207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9034
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.4066 RUB (High: 1.5898 / Low: 1.1832). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0313 RUB (High: 0.9333 / Low: 0.9020).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.4066
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0313

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0380 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0380

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1.3053) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.8665), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4388 (+50.64%).

2014 Avg (December) 1.3053
2013 Avg (December) 0.8665

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9220 0.8659 0.8850
February 0.9444 0.9057 0.9242
March 0.9612 0.9204 0.9483
April 0.9456 0.8974 0.9176
May 0.9042 0.8569 0.8796
June 0.8855 0.8436 0.8660
July 0.9012 0.8556 0.8766
August 0.9333 0.9020 0.9106
September 0.9992 0.9267 0.9585
October 1.0320 0.9683 0.9978
November 1.1591 0.9972 1.0756
December 1.5898 1.1832 1.3053