2019 GMD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4006 RUB

YEARLY LOW

1.2056 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2919 RUB

2019 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.4006. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 1.2056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1950 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3478 to the December average rate of 1.2245, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.4006 was down 4.74% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.4703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,003 RUB

2018 Average 6,528 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 6,028 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 975.16 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.3602

1.2121

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3156, compared to 1.2683 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0473 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3156

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2683

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0784 RUB (High: 1.4006 / Low: 1.3222). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0187 RUB (High: 1.2577 / Low: 1.2390).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0784

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0247 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0247

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.3478) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.1806), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1672 (+14.16%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.3478

2018 Avg (January) 1.1806

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4006	1.3222	1.3478
February	1.3453	1.3192	1.3277
March	1.3407	1.2847	1.3148
April	1.3202	1.2848	1.3022
May	1.3197	1.2965	1.3077
June	1.3253	1.2596	1.2932
July	1.2828	1.2578	1.2686
August	1.3366	1.2871	1.3134
September	1.3247	1.2669	1.2887
October	1.2924	1.2439	1.2673
November	1.2577	1.2390	1.2472
December	1.2566	1.2056	1.2245