YEARLY HIGH
1.5905 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.1931 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4043 RUB

2020 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 1.5905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 1.1931.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3974 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2090 to the December average rate of 1.4294, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.5905 was up 13.55% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.4006, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,952 RUB
2019 Average 6,459 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 5,966 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,986.81 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.5278
1.1801
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3604, compared to 1.4482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0878 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3604
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2921 RUB (High: 1.5905 / Low: 1.2983). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0553 RUB (High: 1.4599 / Low: 1.4046).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2921
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0553

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0740 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0740

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 1.4649) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.3148), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1501 (+11.41%).

2020 Avg (March) 1.4649
2019 Avg (March) 1.3148

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2520 1.1931 1.2090
February 1.3076 1.2306 1.2579
March 1.5905 1.2983 1.4649
April 1.5437 1.4318 1.4695
May 1.4768 1.3631 1.4174
June 1.3796 1.3215 1.3434
July 1.4361 1.3650 1.3818
August 1.4599 1.4046 1.4255
September 1.5289 1.4207 1.4692
October 1.5338 1.4724 1.4989
November 1.5568 1.4579 1.4845
December 1.4685 1.4109 1.4294