2016 GMD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0803 RUB

YEARLY LOW

1.4107 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6013 RUB

2016 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 2.0803. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1.4107.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6696 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9380 to the December average rate of 1.4491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.0803 was up 11.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8607, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,402 RUB

2015 Average 7,463 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 7,054 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,348.00 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.0068

1.3984

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7075, compared to 1.4952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7075

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.3106 RUB (High: 1.8820 / Low: 1.5714). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0287 RUB (High: 1.4828 / Low: 1.4541).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3106

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2324 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.9380) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4924), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4456 (+29.86%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.9380

2015 Avg (January) 1.4924

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0803	1.8472	1.9380
February	2.0218	1.9107	1.9561
March	1.8820	1.5714	1.7237
April	1.6078	1.5202	1.5609
May	1.5669	1.5156	1.5419
June	1.5693	1.4862	1.5245
July	1.5590	1.4714	1.5077
August	1.5629	1.4896	1.5209
September	1.5443	1.4805	1.5137
October	1.4828	1.4541	1.4678
November	1.5491	1.4788	1.5120
December	1.4939	1.4107	1.4491