YEARLY HIGH
1.5936 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.2065 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3486 RUB

2024 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 1.5936. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 4, dropping to 1.2065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3871 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3277 to the December average rate of 1.4454, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.5936 was down 3.77% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.6560, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,968 RUB
2023 Average 6,865 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 6,032 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,935.69 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.4625
1.2573
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3423, compared to 1.3548 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3423
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3548

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was November, with a trading range of 0.2510 RUB (High: 1.5936 / Low: 1.3426). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0294 RUB (High: 1.3863 / Low: 1.3569).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2510
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0437 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0437

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2024: 1.4189) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.3545), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0644 (+4.76%).

2024 Avg (November) 1.4189
2023 Avg (November) 1.3545

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3685 1.3039 1.3277
February 1.4089 1.3423 1.3586
March 1.3682 1.3342 1.3522
April 1.3863 1.3569 1.3697
May 1.3802 1.3074 1.3447
June 1.3341 1.2325 1.3009
July 1.3132 1.2374 1.2876
August 1.3189 1.2065 1.2744
September 1.3759 1.2375 1.3129
October 1.4334 1.3596 1.3897
November 1.5936 1.3426 1.4189
December 1.5799 1.3834 1.4454