YEARLY HIGH
1.6560 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.0616 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3720 RUB

2023 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 1.6560. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 1.0616.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5944 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1281 to the December average rate of 1.3520, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.6560 was down 38.13% compared to the 2022 peak of 2.6767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,280 RUB
2022 Average 6,347 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 5,308 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,972.20 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.6272
1.0827
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2686, compared to 1.4755 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2069 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2686
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4755

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was September, with a trading range of 0.1525 RUB (High: 1.6271 / Low: 1.4746). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0429 RUB (High: 1.2638 / Low: 1.2209).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1525
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1248 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1248

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 1.5819) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.1186), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4633 (+41.41%).

2023 Avg (August) 1.5819
2022 Avg (August) 1.1186

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1897 1.0616 1.1281
February 1.2441 1.1352 1.2034
March 1.2638 1.2209 1.2437
April 1.3420 1.2474 1.3098
May 1.3648 1.2716 1.3243
June 1.4916 1.3564 1.4022
July 1.5429 1.4769 1.5192
August 1.6560 1.5306 1.5819
September 1.6271 1.4746 1.5661
October 1.5431 1.4137 1.4793
November 1.4339 1.3124 1.3545
December 1.3793 1.3141 1.3520