2018 GMD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4703 RUB

YEARLY LOW

1.1491 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.3050 RUB

2018 GMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 1.4703. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1.1491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3212 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1806 to the December average rate of 1.3667, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.4703 was up 2.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.4347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,351 RUB

2017 Average 6,368 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 5,746 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,605.88 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.4143

1.1594

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2547, compared to 1.3554 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2547

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3554

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1396 RUB (High: 1.4703 / Low: 1.3307). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0227 RUB (High: 1.2187 / Low: 1.1959).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1396

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0227

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0618 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0618

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.3931) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2518), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1413 (+11.29%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.3931

2017 Avg (September) 1.2518

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2089	1.1491	1.1806
February	1.2371	1.1682	1.2013
March	1.2187	1.1959	1.2076
April	1.3357	1.2060	1.2869
May	1.3528	1.2969	1.3215
June	1.3534	1.3070	1.3301
July	1.3429	1.2947	1.3176
August	1.4200	1.3103	1.3809
September	1.4703	1.3307	1.3931
October	1.3527	1.3197	1.3312
November	1.3700	1.3251	1.3428
December	1.4117	1.3390	1.3667