YEARLY HIGH
0.2786 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.1490 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1608 BRL

2019 HNL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 0.2786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.1490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1296 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1531 to the December average rate of 0.1698, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2786 was up 59.31% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.1749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,393 BRL
2018 Average 764 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 745 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 648.21 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1716
0.1501
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1569, compared to 0.1647 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1647

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.1159 BRL (High: 0.2786 / Low: 0.1627). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0041 BRL (High: 0.1537 / Low: 0.1496).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1159
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0041

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0077 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0077

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.1698) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1604), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0094 (+5.89%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.1698
2018 Avg (December) 0.1604

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1596 0.1490 0.1531
February 0.1537 0.1496 0.1519
March 0.1628 0.1538 0.1568
April 0.1628 0.1560 0.1590
May 0.1739 0.1595 0.1642
June 0.1606 0.1538 0.1564
July 0.1570 0.1508 0.1534
August 0.1712 0.1557 0.1637
September 0.1708 0.1646 0.1674
October 0.1694 0.1614 0.1653
November 0.1726 0.1618 0.1684
December 0.2786 0.1627 0.1698