2016 HNL to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1842 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.1367 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1533 BRL

2016 HNL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.1842. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.1367.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0474 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1802 to the December average rate of 0.1439, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1842 was down 2.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1893, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 921 BRL

2015 Average 767 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 684 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 237.22 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1843

0.1357

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1641, compared to 0.1426 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0215 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1641

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1426

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0176 BRL (High: 0.1593 / Low: 0.1417). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 BRL (High: 0.1474 / Low: 0.1420).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0176

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0126 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1802) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1251), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0551 (+44.03%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1802

2015 Avg (January) 0.1251

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1842	0.1771	0.1802
February	0.1795	0.1723	0.1759
March	0.1743	0.1588	0.1633
April	0.1632	0.1526	0.1574
May	0.1598	0.1523	0.1566
June	0.1593	0.1417	0.1510
July	0.1474	0.1420	0.1438
August	0.1432	0.1372	0.1404
September	0.1459	0.1401	0.1424
October	0.1428	0.1367	0.1397
November	0.1496	0.1393	0.1455
December	0.1521	0.1394	0.1439