2018 HNL to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1749 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.1334 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1526 BRL

2018 HNL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 0.1749. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 0.1334.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0415 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1358 to the December average rate of 0.1604, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1749 was up 21.93% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1434, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 874 BRL

2017 Average 680 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 667 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 207.64 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1738

0.1323

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1444, compared to 0.1608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1444

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0186 BRL (High: 0.1729 / Low: 0.1543). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 BRL (High: 0.1407 / Low: 0.1359).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0186

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0143 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0143

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.1704) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1336), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0368 (+27.52%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.1704

2017 Avg (September) 0.1336

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1404	0.1334	0.1358
February	0.1400	0.1340	0.1376
March	0.1407	0.1359	0.1388
April	0.1482	0.1397	0.1440
May	0.1573	0.1482	0.1527
June	0.1629	0.1547	0.1576
July	0.1637	0.1541	0.1593
August	0.1729	0.1543	0.1633
September	0.1749	0.1668	0.1704
October	0.1668	0.1511	0.1561
November	0.1619	0.1525	0.1556
December	0.1692	0.1574	0.1604