2011 HTG to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.6174 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.9816 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1848 KES

2011 HTG to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HTG to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 2.6174. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 1.9816.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6358 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0111 to the December average rate of 2.1367, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.6174 was up 28.19% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.0418, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,087 KES

2010 Average 9,862 KES

Yearly Trough Low 9,908 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,179.05 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.5274

1.9521

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0715, compared to 2.2980 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2265 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0715

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2980

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.2104 KES (High: 2.4075 / Low: 2.1972). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0374 KES (High: 2.0870 / Low: 2.0496).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2104

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1831 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1831

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 2.4794) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.0095), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4699 (+23.38%).

2011 Avg (October) 2.4794

2010 Avg (October) 2.0095

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0256	1.9843	2.0111
February	2.0291	1.9816	2.0000
March	2.1176	2.0270	2.0723
April	2.0870	2.0496	2.0624
May	2.1510	2.0428	2.0952
June	2.2535	2.1151	2.1881
July	2.2579	2.1719	2.2166
August	2.3530	2.2318	2.2880
September	2.5173	2.3079	2.3712
October	2.6174	2.4283	2.4794
November	2.4075	2.1972	2.2963
December	2.2232	2.0591	2.1367